← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.82+8.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.06+6.91vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.33vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.11vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.81+5.18vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy1.67+8.35vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.05vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.93-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.50+2.03vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.12-1.54vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.06-2.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.80-1.66vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.82+0.82vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.72-7.80vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.93-5.68vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.75-5.91vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.72-2.66vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.22vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University2.61-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.93Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.91Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
10.18Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
-
14.35Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
5.59Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
11.03Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.46Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.79Dartmouth College3.060.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
13.82Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.2Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.32University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.09Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
-
14.34Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
-
12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 26.1% |
| Emily Haig | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Matt Safford | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 24.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.