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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+3.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+2.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.75+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.80-0.09vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-1.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.72vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.06-4.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.92vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.50-3.89vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.67-1.46vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.66vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.82-4.02vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.72-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.2Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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13.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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13.98Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.04Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Matt Safford | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 25.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.