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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+8.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.17vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+6.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.51vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+5.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+1.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80+0.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-1.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-3.32vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.06-5.03vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-1.18vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.67-1.53vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.72-2.71vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.06-9.34vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.72-13.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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5.47Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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12.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.82Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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14.29Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Matt Safford | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Haig | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 24.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 23.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.