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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.75+9.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+7.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+2.98vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.06-0.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.85vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-4.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-2.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-1.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-1.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-3.17vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.72-2.70vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.82-8.26vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy1.67-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.06Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.07Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.3Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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14.22Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Safford | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Emily Haig | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 20.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 23.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.