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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+8.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+7.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.86vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+3.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+1.68vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.72+5.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-4.92vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.67+2.91vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.75-3.04vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.06-5.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.33vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-7.10vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-9.92vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.50-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.02Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.14Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.91Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.96Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| Emily Haig | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 26.3% |
| Matt Safford | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.