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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+10.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+10.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+3.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+5.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+5.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+3.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+1.79vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.06+1.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.05vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.67+3.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.49vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-7.83vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-5.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.35vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.75-5.97vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.64vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.72-3.63vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.82-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.3Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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14.55Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.37Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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13.67Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emily Haig | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 23.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 22.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.