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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+7.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+6.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.07vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.06+4.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+3.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+0.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-1.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-0.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.29vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-4.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.81-3.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-4.89vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-4.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.72-2.73vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.67-3.44vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.82-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.27Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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14.56Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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13.7Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Matt Safford | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 22.9% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 25.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.