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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+5.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+4.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+6.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+5.97vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12+0.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81+0.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-1.07vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-3.36vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.06-5.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-5.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-1.99vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.67-2.54vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.75-7.95vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.72-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.01Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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14.01Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sam Morrell | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.8% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 26.5% |
| Matt Safford | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.