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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+4.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+7.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+6.06vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+3.80vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75+3.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06+1.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.99vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.72+4.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.06-2.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.29vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-4.04vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-6.49vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.67-1.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.66vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.82-4.03vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.80-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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14.3Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.5Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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13.97Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Matt Safford | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 25.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 18.9% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.