← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+8.20vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+6.51vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.51+1.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.54vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.58vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.79+1.17vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.67+0.55vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.22+1.24vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.86+1.77vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.68-2.23vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.16+2.37vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.36vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University3.39-4.46vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-5.84vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida3.29-5.97vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.90-5.29vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.32-1.30vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.60-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.2Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
-
8.51Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
4.73Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
6.54University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.58U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
7.17Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.55Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.24College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
7.77Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
13.37Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.54Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.71Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
15.7University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
14.8Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 14.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 45.9% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 23.7% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.