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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.21vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+7.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+3.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+5.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.80+3.04vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75+2.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-2.27vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.67+1.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.50-2.68vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-6.27vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-1.66vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.06-8.24vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.82-4.02vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.23Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.34Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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13.98Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Matt Safford | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Emily Haig | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 24.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 23.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.