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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.80+7.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+5.42vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+5.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72+0.16vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+1.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81+0.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-1.62vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-5.70vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.06-5.11vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.50-3.89vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.75-5.99vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.72-3.63vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy1.67-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.3Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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13.95Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.37Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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14.21Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Matt Safford | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 20.7% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 22.9% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.