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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.07vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.06+6.86vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+6.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+4.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+4.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+3.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-0.18vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-2.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.99vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-1.16vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-1.72vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.72-10.88vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-10.15vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy1.67-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.29Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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13.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.28Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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14.21Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Matt Safford | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.