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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+8.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.75+4.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+2.75vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.67+6.65vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+5.38vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82+0.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-1.74vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.06-2.68vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-3.85vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.50-3.75vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.93-10.04vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-7.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.77vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.82-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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13.65Maine Maritime Academy1.670.0%1st Place
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13.38Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.25Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.05Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Buchanan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 24.7% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 23.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.