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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+7.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+4.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+6.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+4.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+0.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75+1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.23+1.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-1.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.26vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-1.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-2.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-1.56vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-6.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.75vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.36-7.65vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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16.13Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.