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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+5.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+6.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+7.03vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+4.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+3.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+3.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.91vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23+0.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-4.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-2.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.25vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-5.76vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-3.44vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.64vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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16.11Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 17.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.