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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.20+10.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+5.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+5.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.23+6.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+3.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-1.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.57vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-2.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-0.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-2.95vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-4.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-1.54vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-5.67vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.79vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.61vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.04-11.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.17University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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16.39Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Max Clapp | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| Mott Blair | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 44.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.