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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+8.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+4.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+7.00vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.92+3.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+2.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+2.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+1.74vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-1.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-0.10vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-3.56vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-1.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-2.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-2.43vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.84-8.68vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.20-6.97vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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14.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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13.57Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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16.1Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Walter Gnann | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Max Clapp | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Christian Filter | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 21.2% |
| Joey Lark | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.