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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+6.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+6.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+5.56vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+3.99vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20+6.44vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-0.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23+0.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-1.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-3.20vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-3.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-1.55vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.79vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.59-7.54vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.61vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.04-11.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.45Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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16.39Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Max Clapp | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 18.5% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 45.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.