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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.46+9.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+5.86vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+5.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+5.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+0.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92+0.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-4.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+2.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.59-3.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-4.71vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-2.46vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-8.40vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.23-7.11vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.23Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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16.08Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Henry | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Dana Haig | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Mott Blair | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.