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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+6.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+6.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+3.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+6.93vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20+6.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.23+4.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-0.26vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49+0.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-2.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-0.55vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-2.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59+0.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-5.29vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.83vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.84-7.83vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.59-7.60vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.69vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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14.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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16.16Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Walter Henry | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Max Clapp | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| Mott Blair | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.