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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+8.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+6.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+4.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75+3.73vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-0.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+0.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+6.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.20-0.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.83vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-4.63vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.92-7.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-6.37vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.23-6.31vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-4.69vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.95Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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13.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.37Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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13.31Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.87Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Carter Brock | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 26.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Max Clapp | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Joey Lark | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.