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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.75+7.40vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+5.67vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+3.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.20+3.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-3.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.23vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-1.36vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-2.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-3.22vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.28vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.04-4.65vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-3.81vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-3.22vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.72-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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13.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.19Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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14.78Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.8Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cabot | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| Molly Matthews | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
| Carter Brock | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 21.8% |
| Mott Blair | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.