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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+7.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+8.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.04+8.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+10.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59+6.97vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59-0.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-3.72vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-3.25vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.92-7.36vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-7.68vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.38-11.12vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.89vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.04-12.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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15.0Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.92Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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16.11Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Molly Matthews | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carter Brock | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 22.9% |
| Joey Lark | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 10.9% |
| Cameron Nash | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Max Clapp | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 37.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.