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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.39+4.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.60+6.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+4.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+6.88vs Predicted
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52.31+4.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+4.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-0.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20+0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-3.91vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38+2.11vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.57-3.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.82vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-5.64vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-7.19vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-6.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.21vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.11-3.93vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.672.310.0%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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14.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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17.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Arnone | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Bedford | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Perham Black | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| David Wood | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 25.2% | 12.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 8.2% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.