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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+7.23vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+4.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+3.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+3.73vs Predicted
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52.31+4.64vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20+3.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.28+1.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.71vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.39-6.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.33vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-6.07vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-2.04vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-4.78vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.09vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.03vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.642.310.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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17.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mastrandrea | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Perham Black | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| David Wood | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 5.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 6.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 26.4% | 12.5% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.