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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+6.83vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.60+6.32vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.11+10.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.28+5.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+2.96vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20+3.78vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.58+0.53vs Predicted
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92.31+0.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.39-4.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.74vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.09-5.50vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.57vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.15vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-5.60vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-4.91vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.222.310.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.09Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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17.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 8.7% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Luke Arnone | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 26.4% | 9.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Anthony Root | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.