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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+8.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.60+6.25vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+4.92vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.09+1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11+7.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.39-2.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-0.36vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.01-5.20vs Predicted
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132.31-3.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-6.12vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-6.82vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-4.69vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.95-6.13vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.70+0.10vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.38-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.45Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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14.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.172.310.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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18.1Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 7.4% |
| Luke Arnone | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 27.5% | 9.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| David Wood | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| William Bedford | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 11.0% | 73.9% |
| Anthony Root | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.