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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.39+4.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+5.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+3.44vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+2.87vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20+3.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-1.10vs Predicted
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92.31+0.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-1.69vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-3.06vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.60-3.34vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-2.00vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-1.98vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-7.40vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.70+0.08vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.332.310.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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18.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Arnone | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| David Wood | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 28.3% | 10.9% |
| Anthony Root | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 7.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 72.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.