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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.60+7.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+4.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.39+2.39vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+3.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.20+2.16vs Predicted
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92.31+0.33vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-4.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-3.89vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-2.53vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.38-0.61vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-7.20vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.11vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-5.57vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.11-3.89vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.332.310.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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17.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mastrandrea | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Wood | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| John Ped | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Anthony Root | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 28.7% | 10.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 8.8% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.