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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+5.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.39+2.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+2.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+4.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.09-0.65vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.38+5.26vs Predicted
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92.31+0.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.20-0.24vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-2.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-3.13vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11+0.15vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-4.29vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.01-9.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-7.57vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.10vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.29Yale University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.31Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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13.26Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.212.310.1%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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14.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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17.8Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 15.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 4.5% |
| John Ped | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Perham Black | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| David Wood | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 8.6% |
| William Bedford | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 12.4% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.