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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.97vs Predicted
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22.31+7.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+7.62vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+2.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.39+0.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+1.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50+1.63vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+3.62vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.38+3.86vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.83vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+2.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.64vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-5.61vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.20-6.28vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.58-8.76vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.70+0.08vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.71-11.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.432.310.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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14.33University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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18.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Anthony Root | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 7.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 25.1% | 10.3% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| David Wood | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 72.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.