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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.39+4.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+5.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+3.74vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.09+1.51vs Predicted
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62.31+3.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-0.37vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+0.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+2.28vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.91-3.11vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38+2.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.20-1.79vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.33vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.50-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-5.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.98vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.362.310.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.89Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.18Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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17.86Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Arnone | 13.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| David Wood | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 3.5% |
| Perham Black | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| William Bedford | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 7.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 25.9% | 13.4% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.