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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+6.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+7.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+3.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.39+1.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+5.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+0.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+1.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-1.78vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.50-2.34vs Predicted
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122.31-2.19vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.70+4.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11+0.19vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-2.02vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.01-9.53vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-9.16vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.95-7.15vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.812.310.0%1st Place
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17.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.85Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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14.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| David Wood | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 71.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 7.4% |
| Anthony Root | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 5.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 25.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.