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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.31+8.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.39+3.36vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20+6.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+2.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+5.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50+0.87vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.91-2.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95+0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.11+3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.28-2.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.74vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-5.58vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.09-8.68vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.69-8.31vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-3.98vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.82-6.68vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.442.310.0%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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14.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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17.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Luke Arnone | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 7.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 24.7% | 11.7% |
| David Wood | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.