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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+6.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.50+5.74vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+10.14vs Predicted
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62.31+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.28+2.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+2.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.39-3.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-3.80vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-3.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-3.96vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.31vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-2.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-6.70vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.20-6.23vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.04vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-4.86vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.70-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.392.310.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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13.14Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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17.85Maine Maritime Academy-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 27.9% | 12.0% |
| John Ped | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Luke Arnone | 16.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| David Wood | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Perham Black | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 6.9% |
| Anthony Root | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 5.1% |
| Maximilian Hart | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.