Race 4B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Igoe 15.7% 14.1% 13.3% 14.1% 12.7% 10.3% 9.7% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Eliott Raison 25.6% 23.4% 16.2% 13.0% 8.9% 7.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Pj Rodrigues 8.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.0% 10.8% 11.2% 12.2% 11.5% 10.3% 8.3% 3.1%
Tyler Brown 7.7% 8.8% 11.5% 10.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.6% 11.3% 9.3% 6.1% 1.7%
Aston Atherton 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.7% 11.1% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 10.1% 4.4%
Blake Goodwin 11.3% 12.8% 12.0% 12.4% 11.7% 11.5% 9.1% 9.0% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8%
Jacob Usher 10.8% 11.7% 12.8% 12.8% 13.1% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 6.8% 2.4% 1.0%
Milo Miller 7.1% 7.1% 8.9% 9.7% 10.0% 12.2% 12.6% 12.7% 10.4% 7.0% 2.6%
Oliver West 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 6.0% 8.8% 11.2% 15.2% 20.2% 21.2%
Camden Hom 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 5.6% 6.2% 11.5% 19.7% 44.2%
Neil Bunce 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.9% 10.4% 13.5% 21.9% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.