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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+6.64vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.86+8.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+4.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+1.95vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-1.47vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+2.23vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39+0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-2.55vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-2.66vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16+0.06vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.81+0.09vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-0.34vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.68-9.44vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.48-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.85Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.95Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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13.06Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.09Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Emily Billing | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 12.5% |
| Alison Love | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 23.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 47.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.