Race 1A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madeline DelVescovo 5.2% 9.2% 10.5% 13.4% 16.3% 23.7% 12.8% 6.2% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Gillette 18.8% 20.5% 20.5% 17.8% 12.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 14.1% 17.5% 19.9% 18.5% 15.1% 9.7% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 7.4% 9.1% 11.5% 15.4% 19.5% 17.9% 11.2% 6.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 42.0% 26.9% 16.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 8.3% 10.2% 13.4% 16.5% 18.4% 16.0% 10.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Flanagan 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 7.5% 18.3% 19.9% 21.5% 15.9% 3.0%
Abigail Brooks 0.9% 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.7% 4.7% 13.5% 17.4% 21.7% 25.8% 9.3%
Morgan Kelly 1.0% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 6.7% 13.4% 23.2% 21.6% 18.5% 4.5%
Andrew Cater 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 3.5% 6.9% 11.6% 74.2%
River Dixon 0.7% 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.9% 11.4% 17.4% 22.4% 27.5% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.