Race 2A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 14.0% 19.0% 18.3% 19.1% 15.7% 8.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.3% 8.7% 11.7% 13.6% 19.3% 18.1% 12.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Max Gillette 17.5% 18.1% 21.8% 17.6% 13.0% 8.5% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 8.7% 10.0% 11.1% 16.4% 17.1% 20.3% 9.6% 5.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 8.6% 10.7% 13.5% 14.4% 15.4% 18.2% 12.4% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 40.1% 28.2% 16.2% 7.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Flanagan 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 7.1% 19.5% 19.1% 23.1% 15.2% 2.8%
Morgan Kelly 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 3.7% 4.3% 8.7% 16.6% 21.6% 19.5% 17.1% 4.7%
River Dixon 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 9.3% 16.1% 23.0% 28.4% 12.0%
Andrew Cater 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.9% 4.4% 5.8% 12.9% 73.2%
Abigail Brooks 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 4.0% 4.5% 11.8% 18.9% 23.3% 25.7% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.