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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+3.42vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+4.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.26+2.18vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+1.80vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.16-1.79vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-1.16vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.83-1.90vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.63+0.32vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.11-1.69vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.60-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Jacksonville University1.7014.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College0.857.1%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University1.269.8%1st Place
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5.8Hampton University0.587.5%1st Place
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3.21College of Charleston2.1624.6%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University1.5311.5%1st Place
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6.17Rollins College0.957.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Miami0.836.9%1st Place
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9.32The Citadel-0.631.7%1st Place
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8.31Clemson University-0.113.0%1st Place
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6.5Christopher Newport University0.606.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Igoe | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Pj Rodrigues | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
Blake Goodwin | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Tyler Brown | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
Eliott Raison | 24.6% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Jacob Usher | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Milo Miller | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
Nathan Long | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
Camden Hom | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 51.7% |
Neil Bunce | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 23.4% | 25.6% |
Aston Atherton | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.