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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+4.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.32+10.45vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.39+2.61vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.44vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.81+6.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-1.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.40vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-2.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-5.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.02vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-7.80vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.32vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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15.45University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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14.21Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.98University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.15Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.9% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 45.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Alison Love | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 20.7% | 25.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.