Race 3A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madeline DelVescovo 4.9% 9.0% 10.2% 13.9% 18.6% 20.8% 14.1% 6.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 7.9% 10.5% 11.2% 17.0% 16.9% 18.2% 12.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 38.6% 27.5% 17.9% 9.5% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 15.3% 16.8% 18.4% 19.1% 15.6% 9.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 8.8% 11.6% 13.4% 14.9% 17.6% 16.4% 11.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Gillette 19.5% 19.2% 21.2% 16.1% 11.1% 8.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
River Dixon 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 9.8% 16.4% 23.7% 27.9% 9.2%
Ryan Flanagan 1.8% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 5.1% 8.1% 17.9% 22.0% 19.1% 17.2% 2.9%
Morgan Kelly 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 6.8% 13.4% 24.5% 21.5% 17.2% 4.9%
Abigail Brooks 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 3.3% 5.8% 11.1% 17.6% 23.5% 25.6% 8.3%
Andrew Cater 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.2% 6.1% 11.4% 74.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.