Race 4A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 40.9% 26.6% 17.2% 10.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 17.5% 20.8% 22.4% 15.6% 12.9% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 7.7% 9.1% 13.1% 15.1% 19.0% 19.2% 11.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.4% 7.4% 9.7% 14.3% 18.6% 20.7% 14.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Jeremy McCauley 16.2% 19.5% 17.4% 18.3% 14.6% 7.8% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 6.9% 10.1% 12.5% 16.5% 18.1% 17.7% 10.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Flanagan 1.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.3% 4.6% 7.9% 16.7% 23.5% 20.2% 14.6% 3.6%
River Dixon 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 12.1% 17.6% 20.4% 29.6% 8.9%
Morgan Kelly 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 7.1% 14.0% 22.3% 24.6% 15.8% 4.9%
Abigail Brooks 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 6.1% 10.7% 15.8% 23.7% 27.7% 7.5%
Andrew Cater 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.7% 11.2% 75.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.