Race 5A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 16.1% 24.1% 20.3% 19.3% 12.5% 4.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 48.7% 25.2% 16.5% 5.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 9.0% 13.7% 14.8% 17.1% 19.0% 14.7% 8.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 7.1% 9.8% 14.6% 16.2% 18.3% 15.8% 10.4% 5.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Flanagan 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.9% 8.7% 17.2% 16.9% 21.4% 16.5% 3.4%
Jack Murray 3.8% 5.8% 8.3% 10.2% 14.8% 18.6% 15.5% 13.6% 6.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Abigail Brooks 0.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 3.0% 7.8% 9.3% 17.0% 22.8% 23.9% 7.6%
River Dixon 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 4.1% 5.6% 12.0% 15.0% 20.8% 28.3% 9.1%
Morgan Kelly 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 5.0% 8.9% 14.2% 20.2% 20.2% 17.1% 4.6%
Townsend Morey 10.0% 13.5% 15.6% 18.9% 15.0% 13.9% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Cater 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.6% 11.3% 75.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.