Race 6A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 47.1% 27.7% 15.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 9.8% 13.6% 16.3% 20.2% 15.5% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Townsend Morey 8.3% 11.7% 14.8% 17.9% 18.5% 14.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 16.9% 22.3% 20.5% 19.2% 12.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 9.1% 10.9% 13.7% 15.1% 17.8% 16.5% 9.6% 4.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Murray 3.5% 5.5% 8.6% 9.9% 14.4% 19.2% 17.2% 12.1% 7.2% 2.1% 0.3%
River Dixon 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 5.7% 9.2% 16.5% 21.0% 27.4% 9.2%
Abigail Brooks 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 2.0% 3.6% 7.5% 11.7% 15.3% 21.0% 27.1% 7.3%
Morgan Kelly 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 2.6% 6.0% 7.8% 14.0% 21.5% 19.8% 16.4% 5.0%
Ryan Flanagan 1.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 5.7% 8.8% 16.2% 18.9% 20.9% 15.5% 3.3%
Andrew Cater 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 2.4% 3.7% 5.7% 11.0% 74.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.