Race 7A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 40.2% 27.6% 15.9% 10.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 18.5% 21.3% 20.6% 15.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 7.9% 9.0% 12.9% 14.6% 18.3% 17.4% 12.8% 5.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 14.1% 18.1% 19.2% 17.0% 15.5% 10.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 8.0% 9.3% 13.0% 15.2% 16.5% 16.9% 12.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.3% 8.3% 10.8% 15.0% 16.2% 19.7% 12.9% 6.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
River Dixon 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 8.2% 15.5% 18.8% 21.0% 23.6%
Ryan Flanagan 1.7% 1.0% 2.4% 2.3% 4.8% 8.2% 16.4% 17.6% 19.2% 15.9% 10.5%
Abigail Brooks 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 3.0% 2.3% 4.3% 8.9% 15.4% 17.6% 21.8% 23.7%
Morgan Kelly 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 3.7% 4.1% 6.7% 14.8% 17.6% 20.7% 17.7% 9.9%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 13.9% 16.3% 22.0% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.