Race 8A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 41.2% 27.1% 15.7% 10.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 16.3% 17.3% 20.3% 18.2% 12.7% 9.3% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 15.7% 20.3% 20.0% 18.3% 13.6% 8.0% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 7.1% 9.6% 10.3% 12.9% 20.3% 18.7% 11.8% 7.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
William Sunkler 8.9% 10.5% 13.6% 16.2% 16.8% 15.9% 10.1% 5.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.2% 8.3% 11.5% 14.1% 17.9% 18.7% 12.8% 5.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Ryan Flanagan 1.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 7.9% 15.6% 19.5% 18.3% 16.0% 9.7%
Abigail Brooks 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 5.2% 11.9% 14.9% 18.5% 20.5% 21.7%
Morgan Kelly 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 6.9% 12.5% 19.7% 21.4% 16.2% 11.8%
River Dixon 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.9% 11.1% 12.8% 16.9% 23.5% 24.3%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 4.4% 6.5% 12.9% 16.5% 22.0% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.