Race 9A

john-quinn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeremy McCauley 17.7% 22.3% 21.5% 16.8% 13.1% 5.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 43.4% 28.0% 17.3% 7.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 18.7% 23.0% 22.9% 18.7% 11.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.2% 9.3% 13.4% 21.8% 22.7% 15.5% 7.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
William Sunkler 9.8% 11.1% 16.1% 20.9% 23.2% 12.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Morgan Kelly 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.8% 6.8% 15.0% 21.2% 20.7% 14.7% 11.6%
Abigail Brooks 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 5.0% 10.1% 17.2% 21.4% 21.4% 20.4%
River Dixon 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 5.4% 9.2% 16.6% 16.0% 24.6% 22.8%
Ryan Flanagan 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 4.4% 6.3% 18.2% 18.8% 20.8% 16.4% 10.0%
Sophia Rosahl 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 2.3% 2.7% 9.3% 11.6% 15.5% 21.7% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.