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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.15vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.01vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57-0.02vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.58+0.39vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.19+0.15vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.60-0.14vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.95-0.70vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-1.16-2.85vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-1.68-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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2.01Princeton University2.350.4%1st Place
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2.98Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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4.39Drexel University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.03Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Delaware-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.86Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.3Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.15Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.98Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 17.7% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 43.3% | 28.1% | 17.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 18.8% | 22.8% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 9.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 23.3% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kelly | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 22.0% | 19.8% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 33.7% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 10.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.