Race 11A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Mraz 51.9% 25.6% 13.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 19.5% 26.2% 26.1% 15.3% 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
River Dixon 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 6.2% 8.3% 13.6% 16.9% 24.2% 23.5%
William Sunkler 8.6% 19.3% 18.7% 23.4% 16.6% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgan Kelly 2.3% 2.6% 3.2% 5.6% 9.7% 14.2% 17.3% 19.5% 15.4% 10.2%
Madeline DelVescovo 9.3% 13.7% 18.4% 19.6% 18.0% 12.3% 5.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Sophia Rosahl 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 2.6% 3.1% 7.1% 12.6% 17.1% 22.0% 33.2%
Jack Murray 4.0% 7.4% 11.3% 14.3% 21.0% 20.5% 12.1% 5.3% 3.5% 0.6%
Ryan Flanagan 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 5.9% 9.7% 13.8% 18.7% 19.5% 16.2% 9.2%
Abigail Brooks 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 4.5% 5.6% 10.2% 15.9% 18.1% 18.0% 23.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.