Race 12A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Mraz 51.5% 27.7% 12.1% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 11.4% 15.2% 20.4% 21.4% 17.1% 8.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 19.9% 25.4% 24.2% 17.8% 8.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 6.8% 14.3% 19.2% 22.2% 17.7% 12.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Jack Murray 5.2% 8.1% 10.2% 12.8% 22.6% 18.1% 12.6% 6.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Morgan Kelly 1.6% 3.6% 3.1% 5.1% 9.1% 15.1% 17.2% 18.8% 15.2% 11.2%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 3.4% 8.2% 11.4% 17.8% 21.3% 33.2%
River Dixon 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 4.7% 5.6% 10.0% 14.1% 17.0% 22.2% 22.8%
Abigail Brooks 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 6.2% 9.2% 15.3% 17.3% 21.8% 22.0%
Ryan Flanagan 1.0% 2.1% 5.3% 5.6% 7.6% 14.8% 18.9% 19.2% 15.4% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.